Gradual Increase, Northward Shift in Severe T-Storm Activity Across Central U.S. Next Two Weeks
A gradual increase, northward shift in severe thunderstorm activity is expected across the Central U.S. over the next two weeks.
An enhanced sub-tropical jet will support rounds of showers and storms, with daily severe weather risks across the Southern Plains through June 16th.
A higher end severe weather day or two can't be ruled out over the next 7 days, especially across portions of Oklahoma and Texas where the combination of instability, deep moisture, and unseasonably strong jet stream winds is expected, with a gradual eastward shift into the Lower Miss/Tennessee Valleys likely mid-week.
By June 16th, a northward shift and renewed burst of strong jet stream flow is expected from the Plains into the Midwest.
While confidence is low in specifics regarding dates and timing of the greatest risks, several higher end severe weather events appear possible from June 16th to 23rd.